Which economies are most exposed and vulnerable in the context of the low-carbon transition? What are the policy measures to be applied in this specific context?

The transition to a low-carbon economy means rapid structural change: low-emission industries expand while high-emission industries decline.

These changes can create macroeconomic risks in the countries concerned. In the case of developing countries, these risks are all the greater because these economies depend on carbon-intensive industries – such as hydrocarbons – to earn foreign exchange, generate tax revenues, create jobs and finance wages.

To accompany this transition, we develop a method to assess countries’ external, fiscal, and socioeconomic exposure, and we analyze countries’ vulnerabilities and risks in these three dimensions by examining their ability to adapt their productive structure.

This event will be held on November 24, 2021 from 2:00 to 3:30 pm (CET). Discussions will be held in English.

Antoine GODIN,
Head of the GEMMES macroeconomic modeling unit, Agence Française de Développement
Guilherme MAGACHO
Economist, Agence Française de Développement
Aalborg University as Assistant Professor
Mariana DEHEZA
Climate Finance Expert, Agence Française de Développement
Deputy director, Economic Diagnostic and Public Policy Department, AFD

More information

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